Capital's computer model
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THE HIGHLY vulnerable n ture of public transport w stressed by Derek Wago planning research officer f London Transport, at tl CIT's first Metropolit; branch meeting.
"If a seat-mile is not bougl it can never be," he said.
LT has developed a cot puter model, "Scenaric which analyses the maj changes that have taken pla since 1971, and indicat trends for the next five year There has been a great relative decline in pub transport usage in the subur than in the central sector. 1 Wagon attributes this larg( to the increasing number tourists. Even so, the 18 r cent market share of taxis the centre is now approachi the bus service's 25 per CE share.
By 1984, the model predi, that journeys by car and within central London IA have risen by 20 per cent, journeys taken by bus by oi two per cent.
Car and taxi travel from suburbs into the centre v have increased by 26 per c( and bus travel will have dined by nine per cent. E travel within the suburbs N decline by eight per cent.